Swiss Super League · Matchweek 9
FC Vaduz
FCV
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Vaduz46%
Draw26%
Thun28%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.20
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession52%
32%Territory41%
16%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Vaduz, 5 for Thun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.