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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 9

Sion

SIO

FC Zürich

FCZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sion55%
Draw25%
FC Zürich21%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.04

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.3%
  • 1111.2%
  • 219.8%
  • 209.3%
  • 006.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession46%
37%Territory37%
32%From set plays32%
0.15Chance quality0.11
6.9%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Sion, 4 for FC Zürich.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.