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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 19

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Legia Warszawa

LEG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zagłębie Lubin32%
Draw33%
Legia Warszawa35%

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.02

Over 2.5

32%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–015.5%
  • 0–114.0%
  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Legia Warszawa will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

34%Possession51%
29%Territory37%
41%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.08
9.5%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Legia Warszawa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 114 matches, not the full season.