Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 19
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wisła Kraków44%
Draw25%
Piast Gliwice31%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.40
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
39%Territory37%
27%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Kraków, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 114 matches, not the full season.