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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 19

Raków Częstochowa

RAK

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Raków Częstochowa67%
Draw18%
Śląsk Wrocław15%

Expected goals

2.59 – 1.22

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.2%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession39%
42%Territory37%
44%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.16
5.2%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Raków Częstochowa, 3 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Raków Częstochowa

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 114 matches, not the full season.