Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 19
Radomiak Radom
RAD
GKS Katowice
GKS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Radomiak Radom38%
Draw25%
GKS Katowice37%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.58
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession50%
49%Territory40%
20%From set plays32%
0.11Chance quality0.20
4.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 3 for GKS Katowice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 114 matches, not the full season.