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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18

Wisła Płock

WIA

Raków Częstochowa

RAK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Płock54%
Draw23%
Raków Częstochowa23%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.22

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wisła Płock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession55%
40%Territory43%
46%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 5 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.