Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Wisła Płock
WIA
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wisła Płock26%
Draw26%
Raków Częstochowa48%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.62
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.9%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession45%
33%Territory42%
10%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 2 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Raków Częstochowa
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.