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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18

Wieczysta Kraków

WIE

Radomiak Radom

RAD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wieczysta Kraków39%
Draw24%
Radomiak Radom36%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.64

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Radomiak Radom get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

56%Possession49%
47%Territory42%
24%From set plays41%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wieczysta Kraków, 3 for Radomiak Radom. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.