Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Górnik Zabrze
GRN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Śląsk Wrocław22%
Draw24%
Górnik Zabrze54%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.88
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Górnik Zabrze get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession46%
43%Territory44%
16%From set plays33%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 5 for Górnik Zabrze. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.