Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Górnik Zabrze
GRN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Śląsk Wrocław18%
Draw22%
Górnik Zabrze60%
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.01
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Górnik Zabrze will have the ball; Śląsk Wrocław will not mind.
39%Possession51%
37%Territory51%
11%From set plays18%
0.16Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 3 for Górnik Zabrze. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.