Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice37%
Draw27%
Zagłębie Lubin36%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.41
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Piast Gliwice will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.
56%Possession41%
38%Territory34%
27%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 4 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.