Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice42%
Draw27%
Zagłębie Lubin31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.25
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession39%
37%Territory32%
16%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 2 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Zagłębie Lubin
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.