Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Motor Lublin
MOT
Widzew Łódź
WID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin38%
Draw26%
Widzew Łódź36%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.49
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Widzew Łódź get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
41%Territory38%
18%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.