Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Legia Warszawa49%
Draw24%
Pogoń Szczecin26%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.28
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Legia Warszawa will have the ball; Pogoń Szczecin will not mind.
54%Possession45%
46%Territory40%
28%From set plays48%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Legia Warszawa, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.