Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Korona Kielce
KOR
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Korona Kielce40%
Draw26%
Jagiellonia Białystok34%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.43
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Korona Kielce get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession53%
42%Territory36%
32%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Korona Kielce, 4 for Jagiellonia Białystok.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.