Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
GKS Katowice
GKS
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice52%
Draw24%
Wisła Kraków24%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.24
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession53%
40%Territory39%
32%From set plays27%
0.20Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.