Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
GKS Katowice
GKS
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice45%
Draw26%
Wisła Kraków29%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.32
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession48%
45%Territory38%
16%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.