Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 18
Cracovia
CRA
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia26%
Draw27%
Lech Poznań47%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.53
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.3%
- 0–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cracovia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
43%Territory42%
41%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 4 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.