Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin47%
Draw27%
Wisła Kraków26%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.12
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Zagłębie Lubin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession48%
34%Territory38%
50%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.10
8.6%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.