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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Wisła Kraków

WIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zagłębie Lubin43%
Draw28%
Wisła Kraków29%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.13

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wisła Kraków will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

34%Possession53%
29%Territory39%
41%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
9.5%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.