Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin43%
Draw28%
Wisła Kraków29%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.13
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–09.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wisła Kraków will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.
34%Possession53%
29%Territory39%
41%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
9.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Zagłębie Lubin
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.