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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17

Wisła Płock

WIA

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Płock52%
Draw24%
Śląsk Wrocław24%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.21

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 219.7%
  • 109.3%
  • 207.9%
  • 126.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wisła Płock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession49%
40%Territory43%
46%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.15
3.4%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 3 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.