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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17

Wisła Płock

WIA

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Płock48%
Draw26%
Śląsk Wrocław27%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.19

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession37%
33%Territory39%
10%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 2 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.