Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wieczysta Kraków32%
Draw27%
Korona Kielce41%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.51
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Korona Kielce will not mind.
64%Possession47%
48%Territory42%
17%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wieczysta Kraków, 4 for Korona Kielce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wieczysta Kraków
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.