Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Radomiak Radom
RAD
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Radomiak Radom32%
Draw25%
Raków Częstochowa44%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.76
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Raków Częstochowa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession46%
49%Territory47%
20%From set plays37%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.0%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 3 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.