Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Górnik Zabrze
GRN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pogoń Szczecin31%
Draw27%
Górnik Zabrze42%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.51
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pogoń Szczecin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession46%
40%Territory44%
48%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pogoń Szczecin, 5 for Górnik Zabrze. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.