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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17

Pogoń Szczecin

POG

Górnik Zabrze

GRN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pogoń Szczecin27%
Draw27%
Górnik Zabrze47%

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.58

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Górnik Zabrze will have the ball; Pogoń Szczecin will not mind.

42%Possession51%
33%Territory51%
20%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pogoń Szczecin, 3 for Górnik Zabrze. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.