Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice41%
Draw25%
Jagiellonia Białystok35%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.58
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Piast Gliwice get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession53%
38%Territory36%
27%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 4 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.