Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Motor Lublin
MOT
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin35%
Draw25%
Lech Poznań40%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.69
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motor Lublin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession52%
47%Territory35%
38%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.