Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
GKS Katowice
GKS
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice35%
Draw30%
Legia Warszawa35%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.20
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–111.1%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession51%
40%Territory37%
33%From set plays23%
0.17Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Legia Warszawa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.