Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
GKS Katowice
GKS
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice36%
Draw26%
Legia Warszawa38%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.57
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession54%
45%Territory46%
16%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.16
3.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Legia Warszawa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.