Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Cracovia
CRA
Widzew Łódź
WID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia47%
Draw28%
Widzew Łódź25%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.01
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Widzew Łódź get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession55%
54%Territory36%
17%From set plays36%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.