Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 17
Cracovia
CRA
Widzew Łódź
WID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia41%
Draw29%
Widzew Łódź30%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.13
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession50%
43%Territory38%
41%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.