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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16

Widzew Łódź

WID

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Widzew Łódź31%
Draw30%
Zagłębie Lubin39%

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.26

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Widzew Łódź will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

55%Possession34%
36%Territory29%
36%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 3 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.