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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16

Widzew Łódź

WID

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Widzew Łódź36%
Draw29%
Zagłębie Lubin35%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.27

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Widzew Łódź will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

50%Possession41%
38%Territory34%
33%From set plays50%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 4 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.