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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

GKS Katowice

GKS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Śląsk Wrocław29%
Draw24%
GKS Katowice47%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.89

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

GKS Katowice get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession47%
40%Territory40%
9%From set plays33%
0.21Chance quality0.17
7.5%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 4 for GKS Katowice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 114 matches, not the full season.