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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

GKS Katowice

GKS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Śląsk Wrocław28%
Draw23%
GKS Katowice49%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.97

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

GKS Katowice will have the ball; Śląsk Wrocław will not mind.

39%Possession50%
37%Territory40%
11%From set plays32%
0.16Chance quality0.20
7.8%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 3 for GKS Katowice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.