Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
GKS Katowice
GKS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Śląsk Wrocław34%
Draw25%
GKS Katowice41%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.73
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
43%Territory45%
16%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 3 for GKS Katowice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.