Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Raków Częstochowa58%
Draw22%
Piast Gliwice21%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.25
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession53%
42%Territory37%
44%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Raków Częstochowa, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Raków Częstochowa
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.