Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Legia Warszawa63%
Draw21%
Wieczysta Kraków16%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.05
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Legia Warszawa will not mind.
54%Possession64%
46%Territory48%
28%From set plays17%
0.16Chance quality0.08
4.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Legia Warszawa, 3 for Wieczysta Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wieczysta Kraków
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.