Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Legia Warszawa58%
Draw24%
Wieczysta Kraków18%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession56%
37%Territory47%
23%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Legia Warszawa, 4 for Wieczysta Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Legia Warszawa
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.