Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 16
Korona Kielce
KOR
Cracovia
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Korona Kielce38%
Draw29%
Cracovia33%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.20
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession50%
37%Territory54%
34%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Korona Kielce, 3 for Cracovia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.