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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Górnik Zabrze

GRN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zagłębie Lubin25%
Draw30%
Górnik Zabrze46%

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.33

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.3%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Górnik Zabrze will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

34%Possession51%
29%Territory51%
41%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.09
9.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Górnik Zabrze. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.