Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Górnik Zabrze
GRN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin32%
Draw29%
Górnik Zabrze39%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.34
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Zagłębie Lubin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession46%
34%Territory44%
50%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.14
8.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Zagłębie Lubin, 5 for Górnik Zabrze.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.