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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15

Wisła Płock

WIA

Legia Warszawa

LEG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Płock35%
Draw27%
Legia Warszawa38%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.43

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wisła Płock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession54%
40%Territory46%
46%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.16
3.4%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 3 for Legia Warszawa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.