Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
Motor Lublin
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wieczysta Kraków39%
Draw25%
Motor Lublin36%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Motor Lublin will not mind.
64%Possession46%
48%Territory41%
17%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wieczysta Kraków, 3 for Motor Lublin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wieczysta Kraków
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.