Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Widzew Łódź
WID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Raków Częstochowa66%
Draw20%
Widzew Łódź14%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.96
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Widzew Łódź will have the ball; Raków Częstochowa will not mind.
46%Possession55%
47%Territory36%
37%From set plays36%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Raków Częstochowa, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.