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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15

Raków Częstochowa

RAK

Widzew Łódź

WID

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Raków Częstochowa65%
Draw20%
Widzew Łódź15%

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.01

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Widzew Łódź will have the ball; Raków Częstochowa will not mind.

46%Possession55%
42%Territory36%
44%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.5%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Raków Częstochowa, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Raków Częstochowa

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.