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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15

Radomiak Radom

RAD

Wisła Kraków

WIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Radomiak Radom39%
Draw25%
Wisła Kraków35%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.52

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession48%
38%Territory38%
36%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.