Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Radomiak Radom
RAD
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Radomiak Radom46%
Draw25%
Wisła Kraków29%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.38
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
49%Territory39%
20%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.