Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pogoń Szczecin56%
Draw22%
Śląsk Wrocław22%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.27
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.5%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pogoń Szczecin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession49%
40%Territory43%
48%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pogoń Szczecin, 3 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.