Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice42%
Draw26%
Korona Kielce31%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.35
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Piast Gliwice will have the ball; Korona Kielce will not mind.
56%Possession47%
38%Territory42%
27%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 4 for Korona Kielce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.