Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice49%
Draw25%
Korona Kielce26%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.26
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession44%
37%Territory37%
16%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 2 for Korona Kielce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.