Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
GKS Katowice
GKS
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice33%
Draw25%
Lech Poznań42%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.70
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
GKS Katowice get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession52%
40%Territory35%
32%From set plays13%
0.20Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.