Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 15
Cracovia
CRA
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia40%
Draw27%
Jagiellonia Białystok34%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cracovia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
43%Territory36%
41%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 4 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.