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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Wisła Kraków

WIS

Cracovia

CRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Kraków44%
Draw28%
Cracovia28%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.14

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession50%
39%Territory54%
27%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.07
3.6%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Kraków, 3 for Cracovia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.