Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Cracovia
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wisła Kraków41%
Draw28%
Cracovia31%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.18
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession50%
38%Territory43%
26%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Kraków, 3 for Cracovia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.