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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Widzew Łódź

WID

Pogoń Szczecin

POG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Widzew Łódź30%
Draw26%
Pogoń Szczecin43%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.60

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Widzew Łódź will have the ball; Pogoń Szczecin will not mind.

55%Possession42%
36%Territory33%
36%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.