Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Widzew Łódź
WID
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Widzew Łódź30%
Draw26%
Pogoń Szczecin43%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.59
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession45%
36%Territory39%
36%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 2 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Widzew Łódź
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 114 matches, not the full season.