Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Widzew Łódź
WID
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Widzew Łódź39%
Draw27%
Pogoń Szczecin34%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.35
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pogoń Szczecin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession45%
38%Territory40%
33%From set plays48%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Widzew Łódź
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.