Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Śląsk Wrocław36%
Draw25%
Piast Gliwice39%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.69
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession56%
43%Territory38%
16%From set plays27%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.