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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Piast Gliwice

PIA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Śląsk Wrocław33%
Draw24%
Piast Gliwice43%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.78

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession53%
39%Territory37%
9%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Śląsk Wrocław, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.