Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Motor Lublin
MOT
Wisła Płock
WIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin59%
Draw23%
Wisła Płock18%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.96
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motor Lublin will have the ball; Wisła Płock will not mind.
57%Possession45%
48%Territory33%
41%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Wisła Płock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.