Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Motor Lublin
MOT
Wisła Płock
WIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin37%
Draw26%
Wisła Płock37%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.51
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wisła Płock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
41%Territory40%
18%From set plays46%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Wisła Płock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.