Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Motor Lublin
MOT
Wisła Płock
WIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin58%
Draw24%
Wisła Płock18%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.97
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motor Lublin will have the ball; Wisła Płock will not mind.
57%Possession45%
47%Territory33%
38%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Wisła Płock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.