Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Legia Warszawa39%
Draw29%
Raków Częstochowa32%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.18
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession45%
37%Territory42%
23%From set plays44%
0.08Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Legia Warszawa, 2 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.