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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Lech Poznań

LEC

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lech Poznań55%
Draw25%
Zagłębie Lubin20%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.02

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.5%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lech Poznań will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

53%Possession41%
42%Territory34%
18%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lech Poznań, 4 for Zagłębie Lubin.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.