Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Lech Poznań

LEC

Zagłębie Lubin

ZAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lech Poznań59%
Draw24%
Zagłębie Lubin18%

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.96

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.8%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lech Poznań will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.

52%Possession34%
35%Territory29%
13%From set plays41%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.0%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lech Poznań, 3 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.