Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Korona Kielce
KOR
Radomiak Radom
RAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Korona Kielce36%
Draw27%
Radomiak Radom37%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.43
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession53%
46%Territory49%
27%From set plays20%
0.06Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Korona Kielce, 3 for Radomiak Radom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 115 matches, not the full season.