Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Korona Kielce
KOR
Radomiak Radom
RAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Korona Kielce49%
Draw24%
Radomiak Radom27%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.32
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession47%
42%Territory38%
32%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Korona Kielce, 3 for Radomiak Radom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Radomiak Radom
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.