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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14

Górnik Zabrze

GRN

Wieczysta Kraków

WIE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Górnik Zabrze67%
Draw20%
Wieczysta Kraków13%

Expected goals

2.17 – 0.88

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Górnik Zabrze will not mind.

46%Possession64%
44%Territory48%
33%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Górnik Zabrze, 3 for Wieczysta Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Wieczysta Kraków

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.