Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 14
Górnik Zabrze
GRN
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Górnik Zabrze76%
Draw15%
Wieczysta Kraków9%
Expected goals
2.60 – 0.85
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.0%
- 3–09.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession54%
51%Territory48%
18%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Górnik Zabrze, 3 for Wieczysta Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 115 matches, not the full season.