Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin46%
Draw27%
Korona Kielce27%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.12
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.2%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Zagłębie Lubin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession47%
34%Territory42%
50%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.11
8.6%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Zagłębie Lubin, 4 for Korona Kielce.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.