Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin47%
Draw27%
Korona Kielce26%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.3%
- 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession44%
32%Territory37%
37%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.07
9.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Zagłębie Lubin, 2 for Korona Kielce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Zagłębie Lubin
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.