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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

Wisła Płock

WIA

Piast Gliwice

PIA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Płock44%
Draw26%
Piast Gliwice30%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.29

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wisła Płock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession56%
40%Territory38%
46%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.