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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

Wieczysta Kraków

WIE

Jagiellonia Białystok

JAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wieczysta Kraków30%
Draw25%
Jagiellonia Białystok45%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.77

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.5%
  • 129.1%
  • 017.7%
  • 217.2%
  • 226.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Jagiellonia Białystok will not mind.

64%Possession53%
48%Territory36%
17%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wieczysta Kraków, 4 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.