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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

Raków Częstochowa

RAK

Pogoń Szczecin

POG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Raków Częstochowa32%
Draw24%
Pogoń Szczecin44%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.80

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Raków Częstochowa will have the ball; Pogoń Szczecin will not mind.

55%Possession45%
43%Territory40%
26%From set plays48%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Raków Częstochowa, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.