Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Raków Częstochowa53%
Draw23%
Pogoń Szczecin24%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.34
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession45%
42%Territory39%
44%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Raków Częstochowa, 2 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Raków Częstochowa
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.